Probability and indexicality

[abooth]

(A sign displayed on someone's door in Evans):

Patrick is most likely in 1015 Evans if he's here.

You might have thought this sign was most likely to be found in 1015 Evans. Well, maybe it was, but it was actually found on the 8th floor corridor and not in 1015. Hence, we must be in one of the unlikely worlds today; I think I'll buy a lottery

Comments

[rdore]

You might have thought this sign was most likely to be found in 1015 Evans.

I believe the correct conclusion is that most of the sign is in 1015.

[holomorphic]

Or, possibly, "here" referred to Evans as a whole. That would make sense.

[abooth]

Well, yes, but who wants a reading that makes sense when there's a silly reading that's quasi-paradoxical available! [In answer to own rhetorical question, presumably anyone looking for Patrick...]