This article gives the best explanation of the economic situation between China & the US. And it's not upbeat, but it's not a prophesy either.
Even before this week's figures on China's explosive 9.1 percent growth in 2003, which many commentators thought actually understated the reality, the United Nations' annual economic report had identified
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Of all the businesses to get into in a foreign, only partially capitalist economy... debt collection?! Speculative madness like this only fuels bubbles and contributes to the impact of the inevitable crash.
Best quote of the article:
"But New York money manager Schmeidler, and others who remember that economics is the dismal science, realize that it is still better science than politicians drumming up votes and investment bankers drumming up business seem to understand."
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As somebody who grew up in China and currently studying it, I sincerely doubt that. Lack of transparency and the propensity to brush things up has been a time-honored tradition in China. If anything, the number should be knocked down, not floated up.
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