(no subject)
According to a recent poll, the Coalition Avenir Quebec is at 40%, while both the Parti Liberal and Parti Quebecois are in the 20-to-25% range. These numbers appear to be steady.
If these numbers hold out, Quebec will experience a major political realignment. The common wisdom is that Quebec regularly picks a new party, pumps them up and then dumps them by the wayside. (The ADQ being the best-known [and, really, only] example) Even if this is the case, losing an election to CAQ would likely end the careers of both Pauline Marois and Jean Charest, and if the CAQ proves as unable to capitalize upon their immediate success as the ADQ, this would create a massive vacuum of political power in Quebec's provincial politics--at which point all bets are off.
If these numbers hold out, Quebec will experience a major political realignment. The common wisdom is that Quebec regularly picks a new party, pumps them up and then dumps them by the wayside. (The ADQ being the best-known [and, really, only] example) Even if this is the case, losing an election to CAQ would likely end the careers of both Pauline Marois and Jean Charest, and if the CAQ proves as unable to capitalize upon their immediate success as the ADQ, this would create a massive vacuum of political power in Quebec's provincial politics--at which point all bets are off.