Comments | dennis_obell: OSCAR PICKS 2006

dennis_obell

OSCAR PICKS 2006

Jan 22, 2007 17:05

Thanks to the accelerated awards schedule, this year's Oscar nominees will be announced earlier on the calendar than ever - tomorrow morning. As I have since 1997, I've put together my annual, blogarrific predictions of the five films that will be nominated for Best Picture at this year's Academy Awards:

The Departed
Dreamgirls
Babel
The Queen
( Read more... )

Comments 7

i guess i don't need to be impressed... kdot January 23 2007, 14:35:02 UTC

nice work, though.

it's hard for me to believe i've only seen one of the nominees.

Thanx dennis_obell January 23 2007, 21:11:12 UTC

I'm going to guess the one nominee is Little Miss Sunshine? Just 'cuz it came out the longest ago and was in theaters the longest, so you had plenty of time to see it.

I really have to get out more radnama January 23 2007, 14:58:32 UTC

I've only seen 2 films mentioned in the entire nomination list - Pirates, and Curse of the Golden Flower. Oops.

Meh, not really. dennis_obell January 23 2007, 21:09:48 UTC

I think you had several ironclad excuses for not getting to the multiplex much last year. A wedding alone will probably eliminate half a year or more of moviegoing.

Oscar predictions: 4 for 5 dennis_obell January 23 2007, 15:55:41 UTC

Well...so much for the wisdom of the blogosphere. To virtually every Oscar pundit's surprise, Dreamgirls - my #2 "lock" and the favored, 800-pound gorilla of the awards season - was knocked out of the Best Picture race by Clint "Could Direct An Oscar Winner In My Sleep" Eastwood's Letters from Iwo Jima. It's a sobering reminder of William Goldman's old saying about Hollywood: Nobody knows anything.

So, basically as usual, I went four for five on my predictions. It's a bit frustrating to not go all the way in a year where I felt confident, but I'm actually relieved that ol' Clint's upset kept the race from getting boring. That growing army of web pundits hasn't taken my job away after all.

Here are the final five Best Picture nominees, announced this morning by the Motion Picture Academy -- my missed pick is in caps:

The Departed
LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
Babel
The Queen
Little Miss Sunshine

The complete nominations are listed here. And my pre-noms essay is still hereFor a year in which so many nominees were seen as foregone ( ... )

Re: Oscar predictions: 4 for 5 alafairnadia February 2 2007, 18:21:33 UTC

I saw The Departed on the plane back from the UK and was totally shocked. wasn't expecting the last 10 minutes AT ALL. holy crap.

The De-pah-ted dennis_obell February 2 2007, 19:24:29 UTC

I know, right? Bleak bleak bleak.

I still say Goodfellas is a better movie with a more satisfying ending. But...gotta admire Marty for making the ending unremittingly dark. Not "Hollywood" at all.