Interesting Video

[exclamationmark]

Anne posted this on myspace, I thought it was interesting enough to be worth re-posting. It's about global warming and the argument to do something about it. I'm not sure how I feel about it (when I think about Pascal's wager, which is similar), but it's a good video. Leave a comment

Comments

[dougin]

That article is interesting, but I think he has made a pretty significant oversight in wholly rejecting probability in decision-making. By his sort of reasoning, one would advise you to buy lottery tickets: the benefit of buying the ticket vastly outweighs the benefit of saving your dollar. However, I think most will admit that some consideration of probably should enter into such a decision.

He would probably counter that we have a more accurate assessment of the odds in the lottery than we do with Global Warming. However, his conclusion was that probability shouldn't enter into our decision making. I think it's more sensible that expected probabilities should enter into decision making, as should the perceived accuracy of the expected probabilities.