Take a look at Prof. Wang's site again. He updates daily. Due to recent polls,
Tuesday, October 5, 2004 at 8:00AM EDT
Median expected outcome: Kerry 225 EV, Bush 313 EV (Map) (Trends over time)
95% confidence band: Kerry 204-265 EV (Kerry >=270EV: 2%)
Popular Meta-Margin (explanation): Bush leads Kerry by 2.6%
Kerry now has less than 2% to win. Kerry expected avg electoral votes is 225, and Bush's is 313. Ohio and Penssylvania and Arizona have now swung into Republican territory from a dead locked neutral earlier last week. Looks like it could be a smashing defeat... despite what CNN and the other liberal propogandists would have you believe. ~Dan
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Tuesday, October 5, 2004 at 8:00AM EDT
Median expected outcome: Kerry 225 EV, Bush 313 EV (Map) (Trends over time)
95% confidence band: Kerry 204-265 EV (Kerry >=270EV: 2%)
Popular Meta-Margin (explanation): Bush leads Kerry by 2.6%
Kerry now has less than 2% to win. Kerry expected avg electoral votes is 225, and Bush's is 313. Ohio and Penssylvania and Arizona have now swung into Republican territory from a dead locked neutral earlier last week. Looks like it could be a smashing defeat... despite what CNN and the other liberal propogandists would have you believe.
~Dan
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