CFUW 122

Aug 05, 2010 23:16

Okay, we can talk in private now.

cfuw, ic

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Comments 65

adawningoath August 6 2010, 03:34:27 UTC
Awesome.

So, was it just my e-mail that didn't have it, or have the shepherds not handed out roles yet?

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hasmessyhair August 6 2010, 03:42:44 UTC
My email didn't have anything either. They might not have handed out roles yet, or we might be safe since nothing was said to us.

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adawningoath August 6 2010, 04:00:44 UTC
Might as well assume the second one.

Wanna just draw a name out of a hat or something for the suspicion poll?

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hasmessyhair August 6 2010, 04:55:34 UTC
Let's wait and see if we get a clue first.

Oh, and we can't vote for Almond Joy, Banjou's on that team.

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adawningoath August 8 2010, 01:23:33 UTC
Hey, Tam...

What do you think of this thread?

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hasmessyhair August 8 2010, 01:29:21 UTC
That guy...girl...whatever, the one referring to themselves as 'this one', they seem pretty evasive. But the other guy seems to know a lot about this game, so he would know how to act and how not to act. Did you suspect either of them?

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adawningoath August 8 2010, 01:36:12 UTC
Well... I was thinking Baby Ruth, at first. Mostly because Laffy was going around asking a lot of good questions, and we're assuming Almond Joy's innocence. But that is really good reasoning from Devit. I mean, you could make that argument as a wolf, and there's a good chance it'd save you if you came up against a team in ousting later who was only about as suspicious as you, but... I dunno.

I guess I'm still undecided, but starting to lean towards Laffy Taffy.

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hasmessyhair August 8 2010, 01:46:47 UTC
Hmm...You're right, Devit does make a good argument, but on the other hand it could be well-rehearsed if he's played this game before. If he's been a wolf, then he would know the song and dance. Not that I suspect him any more than I do the other team, but it's something to watch out for.

On the other hand, Devit's teammate was harassing the ousted team in the ousting post. Normally I would just think that they thought they were harassing wolves, because you would want to push the wolves to anger to reveal themselves. But Baby Ruth voted against us, not Pixie Stix. So why would he harass them if he thought they were sheep?

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adawningoath August 8 2010, 04:17:14 UTC
Okay, so. Twelve teams means three wolves and nine sheep.

Assuming for the moment that we're all morons and have ousted two sheep, that plus the sheep eaten will take us down to five sheep, versus three wolves.

The wolves win if there's no way the sheep can turn things around, even if they were to oust a wolf each following round. Which means, they win if there's three wolves to three sheep.

So if we're morons, we'll get a warning this next round. Because if we have screwed up twice, we can't afford to screw up again - that'd mean we'd lose two more sheep, and the wolves would win.

If we DON'T get a warning, it means we got at least one wolf.

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