An Experiment

[ichae]

Well I've spent a fun day analyzing numbers, and here are my predictions for the price of oil, with an estimated likelihood of 55

Comments

[dogofthefuture]

If you're right, you might be able to make some money on Intrade...? I dunno, I haven't looked lately. Maybe I should. :)

[ichae]

Well yeah, except in the case of oil it's possible to actually just buy or sell the stuff, either on the futures market or via an ETF. :-)

Not recommending anybody else do this based just on what I say, of course.