Do non-math geeks really assess risk so differently?

[isomorphisms]

4 homicides in Vancouver area 'not linked':

With the lack of any link among the slayings or any connection to gangs, Malo said he wanted to reassure the public there was no reason for fear or panic on the streets.
That is: people are afraid that

Comments

[daproofpimp]

I'm not sure I agree with your assessment of relative risk

[isomorphisms]

Ok, your analysis fits into the category of "thoughtful people can disagree" as opposed to "WTF". Perhaps I am more pessimistic than you, as I figure that some one-time event has a decent chance of happening to me.

But a few years ago there were innocent bystanders getting killed by gangs in broad daylight, which definitely is cause for random people to be afraid.