I was just about to pull the plug on major issues from Earl for much of New England as most of the models had shifted to well south and east of Nantucket
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The report I got from a gov't source today says the model they are working with shows the front and the hurricane hitting about the same time, with the front pulling Earl into the coast.
Yep, that's the set-up for a New England hurricane hit. The trough of low pressure digs in the Ohio Valley, the Bermuda high ridges towards Nova Scotia, and Earl rides the flow up the coast.
So far, the other models have been weak with the ridging to New England's east, allowing Earl to escape in front of the approaching front. Would like to see it continue this for its next run to really lock in something for The Cape and The Islands.
It would still have to come a lot further west to really affect your area or Endgame Friday night with anything more than some gusty downpours.
No, not quite that severe. I'm thinking winds of 20-25mph with possible gusts to 35mph in the downpours in the Endgame area if Earl takes the Chatham track.
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So far, the other models have been weak with the ridging to New England's east, allowing Earl to escape in front of the approaching front. Would like to see it continue this for its next run to really lock in something for The Cape and The Islands.
It would still have to come a lot further west to really affect your area or Endgame Friday night with anything more than some gusty downpours.
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Yeah - like the last Endgame?
Those gusty downpours?
I'm keeping my eye on Earl until it has no choise but to hit or miss us.
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