Kavanaugh will likely fail

[level_head]

I am saddened to report this, but I am now convinced that next week the search will begin for a new Supreme Court nominee.

Had Senator Grassley held the vote this week as planned, that might have been avoided. Several factors have influenced my thinking here:

• The allegation made by Christine Blasey-Ford. Probably not true, but the plausibility is

Comments

[kharmii]

I'd hope drinking in high school and college wouldn't ruin somebody's whole life. Who didn't? They're getting desperate and crazy.

[level_head]

I agree. (Though I didn't drink in high school, or ever.)

However, Judge Kavanaugh has said something like "I don't remember being at any such party" and his friend Mark Judge's book describes Kavanaugh as getting drunk enough in high school that he probably didn't remember the parties, as he was "passing out drunk."

This will make Kavanaugh look bad, just enough that Flake and Collins and such folks can back away from their vary weak-kneed support.

But if the vote happens tomorrow, we have a chance.

===|==============/ Keith DeHavelle

[jimmy1128]

Hi level head, It has been a long time. I am more optimistic than you here. I think this story and how it has played out is too flimsy to stop his confirmation. I especially hope this cheap tactic fails, so that it does not become standard option in the political playbook.

[marmoe]

There's another angle of attack at Mother Jones:

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/09/five-times-brett-kavanaugh-appears-to-have-lied-to-congress-while-under-oath/

Note that they put everything as "appears to".

[Edit]The line of attack of Kavanaugh being untruthful under oath is also taken up at The Nation:
https://www.thenation.com/article/note-to-jeff-flake-a-limited-fbi-investigation-of-brett-kavanaugh-is-entirely-insufficient/

[Edit 2] Aaaand this line of attack gets 3 Pinocchios from WaPo for overplaying the cardshttps://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/09/17/did-brett-kavanaugh-

[marmoe]

According to a Marist poll 54% of Republicans and 48% of White Evangelical Christians think Kavanaugh ought to be confirmed, "if the charge of sexual assault during a party in high school by Christine Blasey Ford against Brett Kavanaugh is true".