I don't believe Tumblr is here to stay. I do believe LJ is dying slowly (which I'll have until it's fully dead, because I have a permanent account), but I never have seen how it's any different from a blog, or why it doesn't deserve to be called a blog. That said, good thing I've started mirroring some of my posts on Blogger, I guess. Not that I actually like using Blogger.
Yes, I'm afraid LJ is on the way out. But all of these things are so much like each other that it's hard to say any of them will be the next big thing. (Anyone remember MySpace? Or Friendster? Or Second Life? Incredibly, they all still exist, after a fashion.)
If LJ dies altogether, you'll have to let me know how to still "follow" you! I know, I know, Facebook sucks, but I end up reading the updates of 140 people I barely care about (and a few I do), when I'd rather be reading yours. :)
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