Hillary’s Math Problem: She could win 16 straight and still lose. (Newsweek)
We are definitely taking this nomination, guys. You can't argue with the math! Obama would still have more delegates after 16 losses to Hillary.
Play around with your election predictions here. Enter your percentages:
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Forbes Delegate Calculator.
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Slate Delegate Calculator.
The Forbes delegate calculator forces the percentages to add up to 100%.
Here are my clueless predictions for today. What scenarios do YOU get?Texas: Obama wins 51-49%. Net delegates, vs. Clinton: +3
Ohio: Obama loses 47-53%. Net delegates: -9
Rhode Island: Obama loses 45-55%. Net delegates: -3
Vermont: Obama wins 63-37%. Net delegates: +3
Based on my clueless guess, Hillary would only have a net gain of 6 delegates total today!
According to Forbes,
Obama leads by 155 pledged delegates now.
Including declared superdelegates, Obama currently leads by 92 total.
6 delegates is NOTHING.
If those
50 superdelegates come out soon for Obama, as Tom Brokaw said today, that would erase Obama's current superdelegate deficit with Clinton (around 60).
I bet Clinton will keep chugging on, at least till Pennsylvania (April). She's vowed to do so. Plus she has a history of ignoring reality. Let the nail-biting continue.