Comments | poh: Stratfor's Analysis of the *ahem* Russo-Georgian War

poh

Stratfor's Analysis of the ahem Russo-Georgian War

Aug 12, 2008 14:51

The Russian invasion of Georgia has not changed the balance of power in Eurasia. It simply announced that the balance of power had already shifted. The United States has been absorbed in its wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as potential conflict with Iran and a destabilizing situation in Pakistan. It has no strategic ground forces in reserve ( Read more... )

Comments 22

synabetic August 12 2008, 22:05:29 UTC

My prediction of future Russian-U.S. relations?

Good times.

poh August 12 2008, 22:06:08 UTC

Dude, this trendy retro shit is so played out.

synabetic August 12 2008, 22:08:09 UTC

Oh, totally.

It's bad enough Hollywood has to remake and "re-imagine" every-motherfucking-thing, but now it looks like we'll finally get our Red Storm Rising movie after all, along with a more gritty, violent and up to date reboot of the beloved classic, The Cold War.

poh August 12 2008, 22:10:42 UTC

Grrrrrrrrrrreeeeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat.

At least the women on the Russian side are hotter now.

Thread 6

wendolen August 12 2008, 22:13:19 UTC

Nicely told. What are the chances of getting you to unlock this post?

poh August 12 2008, 22:15:13 UTC

Not too high at all. I don't allow comments from non-friends tho'.

wendolen August 12 2008, 22:16:31 UTC

No worries. And I'm not going to spread it too far, no community posting or anything.

poh August 12 2008, 22:17:28 UTC

Fine by me! No real brilliant analysis on my part anyways. :p

Thread 8

liberpolly August 12 2008, 22:37:54 UTC

0. fascist regimes (like georgian) are not your friends, even if it seems so in a short term.

poh August 12 2008, 22:43:58 UTC

Indeed. Never trust a facist. Do the Berlusconi Mussolini Headkick!

daystars August 12 2008, 22:50:52 UTC

Thanks for posting this, it was an interesting read. (As was the analysis at the end!)

poh August 12 2008, 22:51:42 UTC

I'm in love with Stratfor.com. Thanks! :D

marc17 August 12 2008, 23:43:00 UTC

I don't know. We might have wanted it to happen just so we could see how Georgia did and get an estimate of how Russia handles itself in a fight. I mussed earlier if China was in on it also, after all, all the leaders were in China for the Olympics and this probably meant Bush spent his free time talking with Putin than by badgering the Chinese about democracy (directly or through the media). Still, it was Georgia that started it and they couldn't beat S. Ossetia the first time around so I don't see how they thought they could get away with it while Russian PKs were stationed there ( ... )

poh August 12 2008, 23:48:57 UTC

And the now worried new NATO/former Warsaw Pact nations? Considering what the U.S. has lost in standing in the region, plus giving added leverage in further negotiations, I don't really see how watching how the Russians play with their toys is really all that advantageous considering that NATO and Russia were about to have a joint naval exercise and could see first-hand.

marc17 August 13 2008, 00:25:28 UTC

Well, hopefully nobody really trusts the US word ever since we gave Iraq permission to invade Kuwait then got huffy about it when they did. Besides, I doubt if that much leverage in the region anyway. I'm sure those NATO/former Warsaw Pact countries were already worried. If the Georgians want to deal with anybody else they can either make up with the ruskies or talk to us. Or the EU or Chinese. We'll have to wait to see who they buy new tanks from the replace the ones they lost ( ... )