Road to the Oscars: угадываю номинантов

[radiojazzz]

ну и неминуемое. в прошлом году я обновил, наконец, личный рекорд, угадав 83 номинантов из 108 (до этого было 79/101, 74/104 и 73/107), в этом подобное выйдет вряд ли - знаков вопроса даже сегодня, за считанные часы до объявления номинантов, довольно много

bullet points:
- Кэрелла прокатят, единственным номинантом от 'Foxcatcher' будет Раффало
- Стрип дадут передохнуть, номинировав вместо нее Рене Руссо
- вместо многострадального Дикинса операторскую номинацию получит "Ида", 'Unbroken' номинируют только за звук
- больше всего номинаций - десять - получит не 'Boyhood' и не 'The Imitation Game', а вовсе даже 'Birdman'
- и, наконец, самая рискованная ставка: лучших фильмов снова будет девять, и девятым сюда, растолкав с полдюжины конкурентов, все же втиснется Финчер (wishful thinking, I know)

anyways,

update: 78/106

Best Picture
(8/9)

'Boyhood'
'The Imitation Game'
'Birdman'
'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'The Theory of Everything'
'Selma'
'American Sniper'
'Whiplash'
'Gone Girl'

Best Director
(3/5)

Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Alejandro González Iñárritu ('Birdman')
Morten Tyldum ('The Imitation Game')
Clint Eastwood ('American Sniper')
Ava DuVernay ('Selma')

Best Actor
(3/5)

Michael Keaton ('Birdman')
Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Benedict Cumberbatch ('The Imitation Game')
Jake Gyllenhaal ('Nightcrawler')
David Oyelowo ('Selma')

Best Actress
(4/5)

Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Felicity Jones ('The Theory of Everything')
Rosamund Pike ('Gone Girl')
Reese Witherspoon ('Wild')
Jennifer Aniston ('Cake')

Best Supporting Actor
(5/5)

J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Edward Norton ('Birdman')
Ethan Hawke ('Boyhood')
Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher')
Robert Duvall ('The Judge')

Best Supporting Actress
(3/5)

Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Keira Knightley ('The Imitation Game')
Emma Stone ('Birdman')
Jessica Chastain ('A Most Violent Year')
Rene Russo ('Nightcrawler')

Best Adapted Screenplay
(4/5)

'The Imitation Game'
'Gone Girl'
'Whiplash'
'The Theory of Everything'
'American Sniper'

Best Original Screenplay
(4/5)

'Birdman'
'Boyhood'
'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'Nightcrawler'
'Mr. Turner'

Best Cinematography
(4/5)

'Birdman'
'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'Mr. Turner'
'Ida'
'Interstellar'

Best Costume Design
(4/5)

'Into the Woods'
'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'The Imitation Game'
'Maleficent'
'Mr. Turner'

Best Film Editing
(3/5)

'The Imitation Game'
'Boyhood'
'Whiplash'
'Birdman'
'Gone Girl'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
(2/3)

'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'The Theory of Everything'
'Guardians of the Galaxy'

Best Original Score
(4/5)

'The Imitation Game'
'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'The Theory of Everything'
'Interstellar'
'Gone Girl'

Best Original Song
(3/5)

'Selma' ('Glory')
'Begin Again' ('Lost Stars')
'Glen Campbell: I'll Be Me' ('I'm Not Gonna Miss You')
'Rio 2' ('What Is Love')
'The Book of Life' ('The Apology Song')

Best Production Design
(4/5)

'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
'Into the Woods'
'The Imitation Game'
'Birdman'
'Mr. Turner'

Best Sound Editing
(3/5)

'American Sniper'
'Fury'
'Interstellar'
'Unbroken'
'Guardians of the Galaxy'

Best Sound Mixing
(3/5)

'American Sniper'
'Guardians of the Galaxy'
'Birdman'
'Unbroken'
'Into the Woods'

Best Visual Effects
(3/5)

'Dawn of the Planet of the Apes'
'Interstellar'
'The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies'
'Guardians of the Galaxy'
'Godzilla'

Best Animated Feature Film
(3/5)

'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
'The LEGO Movie'
'Big Hero 6'
'The Tale of Princess Kaguya'
'The Book of Life'

Best Documentary Feature
(3/5)

'CITIZENFOUR'
'The Overnighters'
'Virunga'
'Last Days in Vietnam'
'Life Itself'

Best Foreign Language Film
(5/5)

'Ida' (Poland)
'Leviathan' (Russia)
'Timbuktu' (Mauritania)
'Wild Tales' (Argentina)
'Tangerines' (Estonia)

PREDICTED TALLY:
10 - 'Birdman'
9 - 'The Imitation Game'
7 - 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
6 - 'Boyhood'
6 - 'The Theory of Everything'
5 - 'American Sniper'
5 - 'Gone Girl'
4 - 'Selma'
4 - 'Whiplash'
4 - 'Mr. Turner'
4 - 'Interstellar'
4 - 'Guardians of the Galaxy'
3 - 'Nightcrawler'
3 - 'Into the Woods'
2 - 'Ida'
2 - 'The Book of Life'
2 - 'Unbroken'
1 - 'Still Alice'
1 - 'Wild'
1 - 'Cake'
1 - 'The Judge'
1 - 'Foxcatcher'
1 - 'A Most Violent Year'
1 - 'Maleficent'
1 - 'Begin Again'
1 - 'Glen Campbell: I'll Be Me'
1 - 'Rio 2'
1 - 'Fury'
1 - 'Dawn of the Planet of the Apes'
1 - 'The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies'
1 - 'Godzilla'
1 - 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
1 - 'The LEGO Movie'
1 - 'Big Hero 6'
1 - 'The Tale of Princess Kaguya'
1 - 'CITIZENFOUR'
1 - 'The Overnighters'
1 - 'Virunga'
1 - 'Last Days in Vietnam'
1 - 'Life Itself'
1 - 'Leviathan'
1 - 'Timbuktu'
1 - 'Wild Tales'
1 - 'Tangerines'