Comments | wwolfe: Election Follow-Up

wwolfe

Election Follow-Up

Nov 05, 2008 12:03

I got pretty close. I was wrong about Iowa, Indiana, Maryland, Virginia, and North Carolina, but I got the other 45 states right.

More to the point, I think my basic underlining theory was right: the Democratic Party can write off the Solid South, and win the Presidency because of, not despite that choice. This grants us the profound relief of ( Read more... )

Comments 4

I'm in Maryland... oneweaklink November 5 2008, 21:43:20 UTC

We've gone Democratic for years. While the Eastern and Western parts of the state usually go Republican, the DC/Baltimore corridor goes Democratic, and that's more than enough ( ... )

Re: I'm in Maryland... wwolfe November 5 2008, 22:08:18 UTC

I'm a centrist, myself. My two favorite Presidents of my lifetime are Eisenhower and Clinton. If Obama comes within shouting distance of either, I'll be satisfied and relieved.

kuzibah November 6 2008, 00:48:27 UTC

There's a book that came out a few years ago called "Whistling Past Dixie" which expanded on your thesis of winning without the South. Obama's campaign was the ultimate field test of that theory, and it worked.

BTW, you may find this map interesting: http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/11/the-mccain-belt.html

What really surprised me is that while Texas went red, it wasn't as deep a red as in the past. I wonder if Texas won't see the same thing that's happening in Florida, a typical Southern state changing as northerners retire there, and as their urban centers expand.

I think it's very possible Texas may go that way. wwolfe November 6 2008, 15:00:52 UTC

And I'd be very interested to see how Arizona would have gone this time had their own senior Senator not been the GOP candidate. All us wooly-headed California liberals who retire to Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, and Colorado are turning the Southwest blue.