political prediction

Mar 02, 2009 17:02

The independent, non-Machine-affiliated candidate Kendra Key will lose the 2009 University of Alabama SGA Presidential election.

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Comments 11

dirkadarkie March 3 2009, 00:11:50 UTC
This is expected of course. Voting fraud (speculation, I'm just jaded), general apathy of non-greek students and the ability to organize (force) a large bloc to your side...yeah. WOO politics!

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diamondduste March 3 2009, 02:05:01 UTC
I think the vote totals will be closer than people are thinking. While the Greeks can vote in the comfort of their own homes, they can no longer do the line-stacking trick of busing the entire house to polling stations, causing major long lines, and deterring people from voting due to the wait.

I also think Key has run the best independent campaign on campus in some time.

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grosely_clerx March 3 2009, 17:58:17 UTC
Why/how can't they bus people to polling stations any more?

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diamondduste March 3 2009, 18:28:43 UTC
There are no polling stations. All voting is online.

The Greek system used to employ as a strategy among other strategies the strategy of taking many people to the polling place to stand in line. The resulting long line implied to the mildly-interested potential voter that there would be a long waiting time before the mildly-interested voter's vote could be cast, and that would dissuade the mildly-interested voter, who would upon being so dissuaded become a non-voter. Was the strategy in play here, is the claim I think he's making.

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zdover March 3 2009, 18:30:06 UTC
If the hard-to-puzzle-out sentence structure didn't tell you that I was the one who posted the thing immediately above this, this message will tell you that I was the person who posted the thing with the hard-to-puzzle-out sentence structure.

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robertdot March 3 2009, 04:17:09 UTC
They should join Mallet, no?

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zassenhaus March 4 2009, 15:26:20 UTC
i am genuinely surprised these things still interest you.

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zdover March 4 2009, 15:58:53 UTC
Barely. This is the only thing I've written about it.

Do you watch The Wire? If you don't and you haven't seen it, have a look at it. I think it's the sort of thing you might like.

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zassenhaus March 4 2009, 21:23:27 UTC
i have seen part of an episode. it seemed like the kind of show that i would need to begin watching from the beginning in order for it to keep my interest.

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diamondduste March 5 2009, 19:54:37 UTC
Well... the vote total was closer than expected, but apparently, there is a reason for that.

The scuttlebutt making its way around campus is that the Greeks had knowledge Key was up in the vote total on Wednesday. They instigated a mass-mobilization effort that several people have said involved going to places on the Strip, the Ferg, and the Rec Center, with laptops to "encourage" people to vote. One person said that as of 10:00 P.M. on Wednesday, there was knowledge Key was up only 20 votes at that point. By the time polls closed (Some saying at midnight, one saying 12:15 A.M.), Oliver had a 200 vote advantage.

Needless to say, the Greeks were scared out of their minds about losing this one, and I'm sure we're going to hear a lot about this in the coming days.

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