Yeah, I can see that. Worst case comeback after AJEE is something like MILK for 38 + give me a chance to score and lock that section of the board. In general I think a position like this that leave is not as important IF you otherwise have control of the board (since you don't need to score much more to win the game from here if opp doesn't bingo) BUT column B is still wide open plus there's not a bingo score available with the spot at 4A after AJEE *plus* taking that 4A spot will block the B column.
You don't have enough of a lead to be thinking like that. You can still lose this game if she bingos right now and you have a crap rack next turn because you mismanaged your rack. Also, you're passing up points on the table to win by more by not giving yourself a stronger opportunity to score on the next turn. Look at what you drew. You would have bingoed on the next turn if you had played AJEE. Racking up that spread in the early rounds is important. Sometimes the best defense is a healthy offense. In fact, that's often the case.
Worst case after AJEE -- she hits a big play at 4A, you cover the A column and are up 50, and she bingos and now you're behind by a tempo.
Worst case after JANE -- she bingoes immediately to tie it, and you're ahead by a tempo.
I'm not sure this is important since there's a lot of middle ground -- worst case requires her to have certain racks now and also have the blank. You're way more flexible after AJEE so the median case is going to be pretty common, and the median case after AJEE is better than JANE.
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i always like to see csw games.
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Worst case after JANE -- she bingoes immediately to tie it, and you're ahead by a tempo.
I'm not sure this is important since there's a lot of middle ground -- worst case requires her to have certain racks now and also have the blank. You're way more flexible after AJEE so the median case is going to be pretty common, and the median case after AJEE is better than JANE.
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