I think that would be fascinating to watch the progression of states during the pre Civil War fight to keep an equal number of slave-state and free-state legislators in Washington.
Right now, I'd say the most likely changes to come next would be further steps toward making the territories more like provinces, because that process has been ongoing for at least 12 years now.
Until a few years ago, I would have said that Turks and Caicos joining would have been the most likely change to have come next, but that's not looking too likely anymore.
Or the link therein. These tend to spring up when the economy is poor, either locally or nationally, so the fractious region wouldn't have the finances to make it on their own. Then when the economy improves, they aren't disgruntled anymore, so they are fine with staying. Also, immigration is a strong factor - if someone has spent years of their life trying to become a citizen of a country, they won't be likely to turn around and vote to split that country.
If a province had a desire to leave when the economy was good and that province had excellent finances, well then there would be trouble.
For Quebec specifically, it should be noted that what Quebec sovereigntists are actually aiming for is Sovereignty-association, because they've never quite been able to get enough popular support for actual secession. But sovereignty-association cannot happen without Canada providing financial support for Quebec after they separate, which is something about which Canada has been very clear that they would NEVER do. So the sovereigntists keep
( ... )
Actually, after the secession vote in 1995, Canada ruled that it would be illegal for quebec to secede unilaterally. Don't expect the country of quebec any time soon.
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Right now, I'd say the most likely changes to come next would be further steps toward making the territories more like provinces, because that process has been ongoing for at least 12 years now.
Until a few years ago, I would have said that Turks and Caicos joining would have been the most likely change to have come next, but that's not looking too likely anymore.
Reply
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If a province had a desire to leave when the economy was good and that province had excellent finances, well then there would be trouble.
For Quebec specifically, it should be noted that what Quebec sovereigntists are actually aiming for is Sovereignty-association, because they've never quite been able to get enough popular support for actual secession. But sovereignty-association cannot happen without Canada providing financial support for Quebec after they separate, which is something about which Canada has been very clear that they would NEVER do. So the sovereigntists keep ( ... )
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Actually, after the secession vote in 1995, Canada ruled that it would be illegal for quebec to secede unilaterally. Don't expect the country of quebec any time soon.
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